Friday, December 02, 2005

One great or many low/medium-yields?

As we are coming up on the Winter Meetings, I wonder whether the A's should go after a big name like Bobby Abreu or Adam Dunn or take the other route and get 2-3 players who could provide average or above average production.

If you look at the question marks going into the season, you have Loaiza possibly reverting to sub-par performance, Harden's shoulder, Haren, Saarloos, and Blanton's possible regression, and on the offensive side, Crosby's ankle and performance, Chavez's shoulder, Payton's flukish August, Kotsay's back, Swisher's performance, Johnson's regression and spray charts, Kendall's regression, and Ellis' career season.

While many low payroll teams have many question marks, these question marks are based on players who aren't yet to be proven. Every team has health issues but when they affect your top two players, that has to raise eyebrows on whether there is enough depth to carry the team. Although some of the ones listed are lower on the scale of worry than others, Chavez's shoulder is a major one from a game-to-game basis. If the A's were to get only one player, they would have to rely on that player heavily should Chavez have issues. But if the shoulder is not an issue, than the offense has a great production potential.

The other side is to get guys like Thomas, Nomar, or players of similar value in trades in order to make sure that if one player goes down, the team's success won't hinder on it.

Is it really that big of a deal? Can you go wrong either way?