Thursday, August 18, 2005

The Scorched-Earth Policy

The definition of scortched earth via Wikipedia:

"a military tatic which involves destroying anything that might be useful to the enemy whilst advancing through or withdrawing from an area."


Almost every player is put on waivers where teams can claim a player in an order based on the current standings. If a player clears waivers, he can be traded to anyone. The process is abit complicated, so here is a detailed explanation of how the "waiver wire" works. More on this in a bit...

With the A's having lost 5 of 6 games, the leader of this club, Eric Chavez and Bobby Kielty have spoken out to the media about neededing more help:

Eric Chavez - "To me, it's pretty apparent that another hitter would really help, especially this late in the year," he said. "I think the guys in here have hit a little funk, but remember, I didn't wait to say this now -- I was saying this a month ago. Just a big presence, that's what we could use."

Bobby Kielty - "These are the dog days right now," said Bobby Kielty. "Some of us aren't feeling too well with the way we're swinging the bat right now."

As the team is starting to struggle offensively, the A's are at a crossroads in the sense that if management gets another hitter, the players know that there is support from the front office with their play. By getting the best player from the pool of those who have cleared waivers, the A's are able to: move past other teams, rejuvenate the existing players, move Hatteberg into a part time role, and for postseason/franchise success.

So who's cleared? Well, the information is sketchy at best but two players who are known to have cleared are:

Mike Piazza. The Catcher with the DH Bat.

Dmitri Young. Above average DH bat who can play LF and 1st adequately.

I have gathered their stats along with a control, Phil Nevin, to compare and contrast the two possible acquisitions.

Mike Piazza:
SEASONTEAMGAB2BHRBBSOOBPSLG#P/PAGIDPGBFBG/FXBHBB/PABB/SOIsoP
1992LA2169314120.2840.3193.50129122.4240.0540.330.087
1993LA149547243546860.3700.5613.73102111571.34610.0760.540.243
1994LA107405182433650.3700.5413.54111511291.17420.0750.510.222
1995LA112434173239800.4000.6063.44101501191.26490.0820.490.260
1996LA148547163681930.4220.5633.54212261171.93520.1280.870.227
1997LA152556324069770.4310.6383.49182181511.44730.1090.900.277
1998LA371495911270.3290.4973.33362371.68140.0680.410.215
1998NYM109394332347530.4170.6073.64121601031.55560.1050.890.259
1998Fla51800000.2630.3892.7907100.7010.0000.000.111
1999NYM141534254051700.3610.5753.58271941821.07650.0860.730.272
2000NYM136482263858690.3980.6143.47151611630.99640.1060.840.290
2001NYM141503293667870.3840.5733.71201711621.06650.1170.770.272
2002NYM135478233357820.3590.5443.81261611561.03580.1050.700.264
2003NYM68234131135400.3770.4833.521188831.06240.1280.880.197
2004NYM129455212068780.3620.4443.67141621371.18410.1290.870.178
2005NYM97351231434600.3260.4443.5261331031.29370.0880.570.185


Dmitri Young:
SEASONTEAMGAB2BHRBBSOOBPSLG#P/PAGIDPGBFBG/FXBHBB/PABB/SOIsoP
1996StL162900450.350.243.5018100.80--0.1180.800.000
1997StL11033314538630.340.363.698148742.00220.1010.600.105
1998Cin144536481447940.360.483.52162101391.51630.0800.500.172
1999Cin127373301430710.350.53.5110162901.80460.0730.420.204
2000Cin152548371836800.350.493.28162401301.85610.0610.450.188
2001Cin142540282137770.350.483.19222421501.61520.0630.480.180
2002Det5420114712390.330.463.311284471.79210.0560.310.174
2003Det1555623429581300.370.543.69162001311.53700.0910.450.240
2004Det104389231833710.340.483.468143961.49430.0760.470.208
2005Det105400231825870.320.473.6212155951.63440.0570.290.208



Phil Nevin:
SEASONTEAMGAB2BHRBBSOOBPSLG#P/PAGIDPGBFBG/FXBHBB/PABB/SOIsoP
1995Det29963211270.3180.334.0332829160.1000.410.12
1995Hou1860107130.2210.133.3822222110.1030.540.02
1996Det38120588390.3380.534.15136231.6130.0620.210.24
1997Det9325116925680.3060.414.01578691.1260.0900.370.18
1998Ana752378817670.2910.373.92687521.7170.0650.250.14
1999SD128383272451820.3520.533.8571201261510.1160.620.26
2000SD1435383431591210.3740.543.81171871261.5660.0980.490.240
2001SD1495463141711470.3880.594.06131681371.2720.1140.480.28
2002SD107407161238870.3440.413.8121511091.4280.0840.440.13
2003SD5922681321440.3390.493.9981661.2210.0850.480.21
2004SD1475473126661210.3680.494.03161911461.3580.1060.550.2
2005Tex1664423150.2650.384.26516240.760.0440.200.16
2005SD7328111919670.3010.43.88296811.2210.0620.280.14



So after looking at their cumulative stats, lets look at the dollars and sense of this:

2005
Salary
2005
Remain
SLGDelta
SLG
dSLG:d$
ratio
Piazza$16.071$3.9520.4440.0842.51
Young$8.000$1.9670.4730.1138.28
Nevin$9.492$2.3340.3990.0392.25
Hatteberg$2.450$0.6020.360


In that last column, you have the percentage of the ratio between the diffence in SLG and Dollars with Hatteberg; clear and away, Young provides the biggest margin in which acquiring him would be the best upgrade. But the problem with Young is that he has vesting option for 2006...

DH/1B Dmitri Young, Tigers. His $8 million option for 2006 vests if he reaches 500 plate appearances this season or 1,000 combined in '04 and '05. He's closing in on both totals.


A's would have to be able to either get the Tigers to take on a little bit more of his contract, or they may be willing to bite the bullet as there is a bit of leeway in next year's budget.

Said Forst: "A lot of it is that we like the team we have. And guys who get through waivers oftentimes are guys with big-money contracts. ... But certainly, ownership has made it clear adding payroll for this year is something that they would consider."


In past conversations, Wolff has mentioned that the goal of building a new park is to have a larger season ticket fanbase which helps prepare the yearly budgets with up-front funds. Even though the A's are having some nice attendance figures, Wolff is unhappy with day of game sales as they are not forms of guaranteed money. So as he pushes his new ballpark plan, a postseason push would allow for more sales of 2006 season tickets.